Bank Financial Capability on MSME Lending Amid Economic Change and The Growth of Fin-Tech Companies in Indonesia

Authors

  • Martino Wibowo School of Business Studies, GICI Business School, Indonesia
  • Vesarach Aumeboonsuke International College, National Institute of Development Administration, Thailand

Keywords:

Bank Lending, Financing, Macroeconomic, Credit, Financial Technology

Abstract

Abstract

This paper studies ten years (2008-2018) of annual financial data from four state-owned banks, macroeconomic data and data from the financial technology (fin-tech) industry using ratio analysis, dynamic estimation and common size statements analysis. The study also considers the analysis of independent attributes such as macroeconomic factors, for example, GDP growth, inflation, interest rates and fin-tech lending supply that could affect the financial performance of the banks. On the other hand, this research emphasizes that competition with fin-tech companies could affect bank performance and the capacity to supply loans. In general, the results show that most of the banks are still capable and comply with supply lending to MSMEs as mandated by the regulation in the short term. However, in the long term, the intention is moving slowly and tends to decrease - possibly due to the dynamics of economic growth and the development of financial technology companies.  

References

Ab-Rahim, R., Kadri, N., Ee-Ling, A.-C., & Dee, A. A. (2018). CAMEL analysis on performance of ASEAN public listed banks. International Business Research, 11(4), 96.

Adeyefa, F. A., Kayode, O. F., & Owoputi, J. A. (2015). The effects of bank distress on the Nigerian economy. International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, 4(3), 57.

Afanasieff, T. S., Lhacer, P. M., & Nakane, M. I. (2002). The determinants of bank interest spread in Brazil. Money Affairs, 15(2), 183-207.

Aiyar, S., Calomiris, C. W., & Wieladek, T. (2015). Bank capital regulation: Theory, empirics and policy. IMF Economic Review, 63(4).

Alihodžić, A., & Ekşi̇, İ. H. (2018). Credit growth and non-performing loans: Evidence from Turkey and some Balkan countries. Eastern Journal of European Studies, 9(2).

Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2015). Do strict capital requirements raise the cost of capital? Bank regulation, capital structure, and the low-risk anomaly. American Economic Review, 105(5), 315-320.

Bank, W. (2019). Harnessing Fintech for financial inclusion. Thailand Economic Monitor. Retrieved from https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/thailand/publication/thailand-economic-monitor-july-2019-harnessing-Fintech-for-financial-inclusion

Batten, J., & Vo, X. V. (2019). Determinants of bank profitability: Evidence from Vietnam. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 55(6), 1417-1428.

Beck, T. (2013). Bank financing for SMEs–lessons from the literature. National Institute Economic Review, 225(1), R23-R38.

Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Maksimovic, V. (2004). Bank competition and access to finance: International evidence. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 627-648.

Berger, A. N., & Black, L. K. (2011). Bank size, lending technologies, and small business finance. Journal of Banking & Finance, 35(3), 724-735.

Berger, P. G., Minnis, S., & Michael, A. (2017). Commercial lending concentration and bank expertise: Evidence from borrower financial statements. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 64(2-3), 253-277.

Berrospide, J. M., & Edge, R. M. (2019). The effects of bank capital buffers on bank lending and firm activity: What can we learn from five years of stress-test results? Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS). Retrieved from https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2019050pap.pdf

Bofondi, M., & Ropele, T. (2011). Macroeconomic determinants of bad loans: Evidence from Italian banks. Questioni di Economia e Finanza, Bank of Italy Occasional Paper(89).

Brooks, C. (2019). Introductory econometrics for finance. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Carbo‐Valverde, S., Rodriguez‐Fernandez, F., & Udell, G. F. (2016). Trade credit, the financial crisis, and SME access to finance. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 48(1), 113-143.

Carroll, J., & McCann, F. (2016). Understanding SME interest rate variation across Europe. Quarterly Bulletin Articles, 60-76.

Chishti, S. (2016). How peer to peer lending and crowdfunding drive the Fintech revolution in the UK. In P. Tasca, T. Aste, L. Pelizzon, & N. Perony (Eds.), Banking beyond banks and money: a guide to banking services in the twenty-first century (pp. 55-68). London: Springer International Publishing.

Claessens, S., Frost, J., Turner, G., & Zhu, F. (2018). Fintech credit markets around the world: size, drivers and policy issues. Retrieved from https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt1809e.pdf

Clause, I. (2007). The Effects of bank lending in an open economy. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 39(5), 1213-1243.

Cornett, M. M., Guo, L., Khaksari, S., & Tehranian, H. (2010). The impact of state ownership on performance differences in privately-owned versus state-owned banks: An international comparison. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 19(1), 74-94.

Davis, F. D. (1993). User acceptance of information technology: system characteristics, user perceptions and behavioral impacts. International Journal of Man-machine Studies, 38(3), 475-487.

Davis, K., Maddock, R., & Foo, M. (2017). Catching up with Indonesia’s Fintech industry. Law and Financial Markets Review, 11(1), 33-40.

Dawson, S., Manderson, L., & Tallo, V. L. (1993, 1993). A manual for the use of focus groups. International Nutrition Foundation for Developing Countries (INFDC), Boston, MA.

Eggertsson, G. B. , Juelsrud, R. E. , Summers, L. H. , & Wold, E. G. (2017). Negative nominal interest rates and the bank lending channel. NBER Working Paper No. 25416. National Bureau of Economic Research.

Eldridge, D. S., Ryoo, H. H., & Wieneke, A. (2015). Bank capital regulation with asymmetric countries. Economic Record, 91(292), 79-90.

Enders, W. (2008). Applied econometric time series. New York: John Wiley & Sons.

EYGM. (2019). Thailand Fintech: Landscape report. Retrieved from https://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/ey-thailand-Fintech-landscape-report/$FILE/ey-thailand-Fintech-landscape-report.pdf

Faulkender, M., & Petersen, M. A. (2005). Does the source of capital affect capital structure? The Review of Financial Studies, 19(1), 45-79.

Fermay, A. H., Santosa, B., Kertopati, A. Y., & Eprianto, I. M. (2018). The development of collaborative model between Fintech and bank in Indonesia. Paper presented at the Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on E-Commerce, E-Business and E-Government, ICEEG. Jakarta/Bali: The ACM International Conference Proceeding Series (ICPS).

Foluso, A., & Ikhide, S. (2019). Bank lending to small and medium scale enterprises (SMEs) and business cycle in South Africa after the global financial crisis. The Journal of Developing Areas, 53(1), 79-94

Gambacorta, L., & Mistrulli, P. E. (2004). Does bank capital affect lending behavior? Journal of Financial Intermediation, 13(4), 436-457.

Greene, W. (2018). Econometric analysis. New York: Pearson.

Guinnane, T. W., & Schneebacher, J. (2018). Capital Structure and the Choice of Enterprise Form: theory and history. Working Papers No. 1061.Yale University

Gujarati, D. (2011). Econometrics by example (1st ed.). London: Palgrave Macmillan.

Gunji, H., & Yuan, Y. (2010). Bank profitability and the bank lending channel: Evidence from China. Journal of Asian Economics, 21(2), 129-141.

Hill, R. C., Griffiths, W. E., & Lim, G. C. (2018). Principles of econometrics. New Jersey, USA: John Wiley & Sons.

Indonesia, B. (2018). Indonesian Financial Statistics. Retrieved from https://www.bi.go.id/en/statistik/seki/terkini/moneter/Contents/Default.aspx

Kammas, M. (2017). Contribution of the banking sector to Cyprus economic growth. Retrieved from https://ec.europa.eu/cyprus/sites/cyprus/files/association_of_ cyprus_banks.pdf

Kelly, R. J., McQuinn, K., & Stuart, R. (2013). Exploring the steady-state relationship between credit and GDP for a small open economy: The case of Ireland. European Central Bank. Retrieved from https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf scpwps/ecbwp1531.pdf

King, M. R. (2009). The cost of equity for global banks: A CAPM perspective from 1990 to 2009. BIS Quarterly Review. Retrieved from https://www.bis.org/publ/ qtrpdf/r_qt0909g.pdf

Krueger, R. A., & Casey, M. A. (2000). A practical guide for applied research (3th ed.). California: Sage.

La Porta, R., Lopez-de-Silanes, F., & Shleifer, A. (2002). Government ownership of banks. The Journal of Finance, 57(1), 265-301.

Lee, D., & Deng, R. H. (2018). Handbook of blockchain, digital finance, and inclusion: Cryptocurrency, Fintech, InsurTech, and regulation. San Diego, CA: Academic Press.

Levine, R. (2005). Finance and growth: theory and evidence. Handbook of Economic Growth, 1(A), 865-934.

Martinez, C. M., Martina, L., & Conor, O. T. (2019). The Determinants of SME capital structure across the lifecycle. Working Paper No. 614. The Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

McGuinness, G., & Hogan, T. (2016). Bank credit and trade credit: Evidence from SMEs over the financial crisis. International Small Business Journal, 34(4), 412-445.

Mercieca, S., Schaeck, K., & Wolfe, S. (2009). Bank market structure, competition, and SME financing relationships in European regions. Journal of Financial Services Research, 36(2-3), 137.

Mudd, S. (2013). Bank structure, relationship lending and small firm access to finance: A cross-country investigation. Journal of Financial Services Research, 44(2), 149-174.

Nisa, C. (2016). Policy impact analysis of lending to MSMEs on the growth of MSMEs financed by banks. Jurnal Manajemen, 11(2), 212-234.

OJK, I. F. S. A. (2019). Indonesia Banking Statistics. Retrieved from https://www.ojk .go.id/en/kanal/perbankan/data-dan-statistik/statistik-perbankan-indonesia/default.aspx

Padilla-Pérez, R., & Ontañon, R. F. (2014). Commercial bank financing for micro-enterprises and SMEs in Mexico. Cepal Review (111), 7-21.

Perez, P. (2017). An analysis of private sector credit growth in Belize: A VECM approach. Paper presented at the 49th Annual Monetary Studies Conference, Belize.

PwC, I. (2019). Indonesia’s Fintech lending: Driving economic growth through financial inclusion. Retrieved from www.pwc.com/id/Fintech-lending

Rosengard, J. K., & Prasetyantoko, A. (2011). If the banks are doing so well, why can't I get a loan? Regulatory constraints to financial inclusion in Indonesia. Asian Economic Policy Review, 6(2), 273-296.

Rostami, M. (2015). Camels' analysis in banking industry. Global Journal of Engineering Science and Research Management, 2(11), 10-26.

Schmieder, C., Marsch, K., & Forster-van Aerssen, K. (2010). Does banking consolidation worsen firms’ access to credit? Evidence from the German economy. Small Business Economics, 35(4), 449-465.

Schroeder, S. K. (2015). Public credit rating agencies: increasing capital investment and lending stability in volatile markets. New York: Springer.

Schweitzer, M. E., & Barkley, B. (2017). Is Fintech'good for small business borrowers? impacts on firm growth and customer satisfaction. Retrieved from https://www.federalreserve.gov/conferences/files/is-Fintech-good-for-small-business-borrowers.pdf

Shaw, M.-f., Chang, J.-j., & Chen, H.-J. (2013). Capital adequacy and the bank lending channel: Macroeconomic implications. Journal of Macroeconomics, 36(2013), 121-137.

Stewart, J. (2018). Understanding econometrics (1st ed.). New York: Routledge.

Sul, D. (2019). Panel data econometrics: Common factor analysis for empirical researchers (1st ed.). New York: Routledge.

Tracey, M. (2011). The impact of non-performing loans on loan growth: An econometric case study of Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 26(3), 585-628.

Wachtel, P. (2003). How much do we really know about growth and finance? Economic Review-Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, 88(1), 33-48.

Wang, H., Chen, K., Zhu, W., & Song, Z. (2015). A process model on P2P lending. Financial Innovation, 1(1), 3-8.

Yeow, A., Chuen, D. L. E. E. K., Tan, R., & Chia, M. (2018). Indonesian Microfinance Institutions (MFI) move to technology–TBOP's prodigy experience, in Handbook of Blockchain, Digital Finance, and Inclusion, 2(2018), 431-449

Downloads

Published

2020-07-14

How to Cite

Wibowo, M., & Aumeboonsuke, V. . (2020). Bank Financial Capability on MSME Lending Amid Economic Change and The Growth of Fin-Tech Companies in Indonesia. Thailand and The World Economy, 38(2), 63–87. Retrieved from https://so05.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/TER/article/view/237384