Long Run Risk Model and Equity Premium Puzzle in Thailand
Keywords:
equity premium puzzle, long-run risk model, long-run component risk, asset pricing, generalized method of momentsAbstract
This paper shows that the long-run risk model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) can potentially solve the equity premium and risk-free rate puzzles in Thailand. In particular, the calibrated values of the risk aversion and the elasticity of intertemporal substitution are empirically plausible. Risk decomposition results indicate that both short-run and long-run risks are equally important risk components relevant to asset prices in Thai financial markets while news regarding economic uncertainty, represented by volatility risk, have only an inconsequential impact.
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