The Influence of Narcissism and Overconfidence On Safety Decision-Making Among Commercial Pilot Students Within The Context of Hazardous Aviation Attitudes

Main Article Content

Karn Tritanakul

Abstract

Human factors remain the predominant cause of aviation accidents globally, yet the specific role of subclinical personality traits and cognitive biases in shaping safety decision-making among student pilots remains underexplored. This mixed-methods study examined the influence of narcissism (X1) and overconfidence bias (X2) on safety decision-making (Y1) among commercial pilot students in Thailand, within the theoretical context of Bounded Rationality and hazardous aviation attitudes. Using an explanatory sequential design, quantitative data were collected from 274 student pilots via a structured questionnaire incorporating the Narcissistic Personality Inventory-16 (NPI-16), a knowledge-confidence calibration measure, and hazardous scenario-based decision items. Hypotheses were tested using simple linear regression analysis and hierarchical moderated regression analysis. All four hypotheses were supported. Narcissism was a strong and significant positive predictor of safety decision-making quality (β = 0.564, p < .001, R² = .318) and positively predicted overconfidence (β = 0.148, p = .014). Overconfidence was a strong predictor of hazardous decision-making, explaining 24.0% of the variance (β = 0.490, p < .001). Critically, narcissism acted as a synergistic moderator: the narcissism × overconfidence interaction accounted for an additional 14.1% of explained variance, bringing the total model fit to R² = .628. Qualitative interviews with senior flight instructors identified three amplifying mechanisms: Feedback Resistance, Mission-Oriented Fixation, and the Halo Effect of Early Success. These findings provide empirical grounds for integrating personality-informed psychological screening and ego-management modules into Crew Resource Management training curricula.

Article Details

How to Cite
Tritanakul, K. (2026). The Influence of Narcissism and Overconfidence On Safety Decision-Making Among Commercial Pilot Students Within The Context of Hazardous Aviation Attitudes. Sripatum Review of Humanities and Social Sciences, 26(1), 157–172. retrieved from https://so05.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/spurhs/article/view/288744
Section
Research Article

References

References

Ames, D. R., Rose, P., & Anderson, C. P. (2006). The NPI-16 as a short measure of narcissism. Journal of Research in Personality, 40(4), 440–450. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrp.2005.03.002

Bonini, N., Pighin, S., Savadori, L., & Rumiati, R. (2015). The effect of overconfidence and information quality on financial risk taking. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 28(3), 249–260.

Boonroungrut, C., & Huang, F. (2018). A Dark Personality Traits Measurement (Short Dark Triad: SD3-TH): Psychometric Properties Testing of Thai Version. CMU Journal of Education, 2(1), 1–17.

Brunzel, M. (2021). Narcissism and overconfidence. Personality and Individual Differences, 175, 110700.

Campbell, W. K., Goodie, A. S., & Foster, J. D. (2004). Narcissism, confidence, and risk attitude. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 17(4), 297–311.

Chughtai, A., Buckley, F., & Mahony, D. (2022). Dark triad personality traits and organizational outcomes. Personality and Individual Differences, 194, 111669.

Chueadamrong, P. (2023). Personality traits that influence driving behavior and traffic accidents. Vajira Phuket Journal of Health Sciences and Public Health, 3(1), 41–45.

Civil Aviation Authority of Thailand. (2022). Strategic plan 2023–2027. CAAT.

Creswell, J. W., & Creswell, J. D. (2018). Research design: Qualitative, quantitative, and mixed methods approaches (5th ed.). SAGE.

Gauglitz, I. F., Schyns, B., & Wisse, B. (2023). Narcissistic rivalry and leadership: A theoretical and empirical review. Leadership Quarterly, 34, 101706.

Hayes, A. F. (2018). Introduction to mediation, moderation, and conditional process analysis (2nd ed.). Guilford Press.

Kruger, J., & Dunning, D. (1999). Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 77(6), 1121–1134.

Langer, E. J. (1975). The illusion of control. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 32(2), 311–328.

Moore, D. A., & Healy, P. J. (2008). The trouble with overconfidence. Psychological Review, 115(2), 502–517.

Morf, C. C., & Rhodewalt, F. (2001). Unraveling the paradoxes of narcissism: A dynamic self-regulatory processing model. Psychological Inquiry, 12(4), 177–196.

Murata, A. (2017). An integrated model of human error and unsafe behavior in workplace accidents. Human Factors and Ergonomics in Manufacturing & Service Industries, 27(1), 38–49.

Simon, H. A. (1991). Bounded rationality and organizational learning. Organization Science, 2(1), 125–134.

Stiegler, M. P., & Tung, A. (2014). Cognitive processes in anesthesiology decision making. Anesthesiology, 120(1), 204–217.

Yamane, T. (1973). Statistics: An introductory analysis (3rd ed.). Harper & Row.

Yang, Z., Sedikides, C., Gu, R., Luo, Y. L. L., Wang, Y., Yang, Y., Xu, M., & Lei, M. (2018). Narcissism and economic decision making: Why narcissists go for the gold. Journal of Research in Personality, 73, 98–107.

Zajenkowski, M., Czarna, A. Z., Szymaniak, K., & Dufner, M. (2020). What do highly narcissistic people think and feel about (their) intelligence? Journal of Personality, 88(1), 45–60.