Impact of Changes in Population Structure on the Smoking Prevalence of the Thai Population
Keywords:
Population Structure, Smoking Prevalence, Social and Cultural BackgroundAbstract
Over the past two decades, the smoking prevalence among Thai population aged 15 years and older has shown a declining trend. This reduction may be attributed to various factors such as tobacco consumption control, changes in tobacco industry marketing strategies, tobacco taxes, and demographic changes. Notably, the demographic changes in Thailand are evident with a decrease in the population of children and working-age individuals, an increase in the elderly population, and a rise in migration from rural to urban areas.
This research aims to analyze the impact of demographic changes on smoking prevalence. Data used in this study are collected from surveys on smoking and alcohol consumption conducted in the years 2001, 2005, 2009, 2011, 2015, and 2017, as well as health behavior data from 2021 surveyed by the National Statistical Office. According to a decomposition analysis of smoking prevalence, the study examines the effects of smoking prevalences and population mobility among groups, categorized by economic and social backgrounds.
The results showed that changes in household demographic structure have been factors hindering the reduction in smoking prevalences in almost every period. Except the increase in smoking prevalences by 0.14% between 2007 and 2011 that was mainly due to population migration between regions. This findings are useful for the design of more effective strategies to further reduce Smoking Prevalences.
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